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A/B Test Significance Calculator

Enter visitors and conversions for control and variant. Get the lift, p-value, and a clear significance verdict.

Inputs
Formula · Two-proportion z-test, two-sided

Result

Fill the inputs to see your result.

What is A/B significance?

Significance is the confidence that the difference between variants is not due to chance. Convention is 95% confidence, a p-value below 0.05.

How the calculator works.

This is a two-sided two-proportion z-test. It pools the rates under the null, computes the standard error, and returns the p-value from the normal distribution.

A worked example.

Control 200/5,000 = 4.00%. Variant 240/5,000 = 4.80%. Lift = 20%. The z-test returns a p-value around 0.07, just shy of 95% significance: a real-looking lift, not yet confirmed.

How to use it well.

Decide your sample size first with the sample size calculator. Run to that number. Do not peek and call it early; that inflates false positives.

What it does not tell you.

Whether the effect persists, whether it matters financially, or whether you measured the right metric. Statistical significance is a guardrail, not a recommendation.

FAQ

How do you calculate A/B significance?
Compare the two conversion rates with a two-proportion z-test. The p-value is the probability the observed difference happened by chance. Below 0.05 is conventionally significant.
What is statistical significance?
It is the confidence that the result is not due to random variation. 95% significance corresponds to a p-value of 0.05.
Why do tests fail to reach significance?
Most often because the sample is too small for the effect size. Estimate the required sample with our sample size calculator before launching.
What is lift?
Lift is the relative change in conversion rate from control to variant: (variant − control) / control. A 10% lift on a 4% base means the new rate is 4.4%.
When can I stop a test?
When it reaches the pre-planned sample size, not the moment it shows significance. Peeking inflates false positives.

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