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T2D3 Growth Projection Calculator

Enter starting ARR. Project the triple, triple, double, double, double path.

Inputs
$
Formula · ARR × 3 × 3 × 2 × 2 × 2

Result

Fill the inputs to see your result.

What is T2D3?

T2D3 is a SaaS growth path: triple, triple, double, double, double. Starting from product-market fit, annual recurring revenue triples for two years, then doubles for the next three.

It became a benchmark for what elite growth looks like. Popularized by Bessemer Venture Partners, it describes the trajectory of companies racing from a few million in ARR toward 100 million.

The T2D3 math.

Each year multiplies ARR by the next figure in the sequence: 3, 3, 2, 2, 2. Compounded, that is a 72-fold increase over five years.

This tool applies the path to your starting ARR and shows each year. Enter where you are today, and it projects the full five-year sequence.

A worked example.

Starting from 1,000,000 in ARR, the path runs 3,000,000, then 9,000,000, 18,000,000, 36,000,000, and 72,000,000 by year five. That is the 72x the sequence implies.

Is T2D3 realistic?

For most companies, no, and that is the point. It describes elite hypergrowth, not a typical or expected trajectory, so very few SaaS businesses actually hit every step.

The projection assumes growth keeps compounding, which only happens with a durable acquisition engine. Reading it against the new ARR it should produce grounds the target in the actual additions each year demands.

How to pursue it.

Hitting any part of the path takes a repeatable, scalable way to add ARR, since tripling once is hard and doing it twice is rare. The growth has to come from channels that scale without costs scaling just as fast.

Organic search is one of the few channels that compounds with growth rather than recurring per deal, which supports growth that does not rely on paid.

FAQ

What is T2D3?
A SaaS growth path: triple, triple, double, double, double. Annual recurring revenue triples for two years, then doubles for three.
How much growth is T2D3 over five years?
A 72x increase. From 1M ARR, the path reaches 3M, 9M, 18M, 36M, then 72M.
Where did T2D3 come from?
It was popularized by Bessemer Venture Partners as a benchmark for elite SaaS growth from roughly 1M to 100M ARR.
Is T2D3 realistic?
Few companies achieve it. Treat it as an ambitious benchmark for hypergrowth, not a forecast to plan around.
When does the T2D3 path start?
Usually once a company reaches around 1M to 2M ARR with product-market fit, the point the triples begin.

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